Jammu & Kashmir Elections Phase 1: Key Contenders, Top Battles, and Constituencies to Watch
By: Javid Amin
On September 18, 2024, the political spotlight is on Jammu and Kashmir as the first phase of Assembly elections kicks off. With 24 constituencies, spread across both Jammu and Kashmir, heading to the polls, this election holds immense significance for the region. The elections are particularly important as they are the first after the abrogation of Article 370, which changed the constitutional landscape of Jammu and Kashmir. In a region marked by political complexity, high voter turnout, and a diverse candidate lineup, the stakes have never been higher.
This article delves into the key candidates, constituencies, and broader political implications of this election. It explores the major battles shaping this phase and looks at how these elections could redefine Jammu and Kashmir’s political future.
Background: The Importance of the 2024 Jammu & Kashmir Elections
Since the abrogation of Article 370 in 2019, which stripped Jammu and Kashmir of its special status and reorganized it into two Union Territories, political dynamics have dramatically shifted. This election, therefore, marks the first major democratic exercise in Jammu and Kashmir under its new status. The results will not only shape the region’s governance but also serve as a referendum on the changes brought about by the central government.
A total of 23,27,580 voters are eligible to cast their ballots, with 11,76,462 male voters, 11,51,058 female voters, and 60 third-gender voters. The 24 constituencies—16 in Kashmir and 8 in Jammu—will witness intense competition among 219 candidates, representing a wide spectrum of political ideologies and independent voices. Over seven districts will participate in this electoral phase, making this one of the most consequential elections in the region’s history.
Key Candidates: Iltija Mufti, Ghulam Ahmad Mir, and Others in the Spotlight
The elections bring a mix of established political leaders and emerging figures to the forefront. Two standout names in this election are Iltija Mufti and Ghulam Ahmad Mir, representing the traditional powerhouses of Jammu and Kashmir politics.
- Iltija Mufti
The daughter of former Jammu and Kashmir Chief Minister Mehbooba Mufti, Iltija Mufti is contesting in this election as a strong voice for the People’s Democratic Party (PDP). Known for her outspoken criticism of the abrogation of Article 370, Iltija represents a younger, more dynamic generation of political leadership. Her campaign is focused on restoring the autonomy of Jammu and Kashmir and addressing the unique socio-political challenges that the region faces in the aftermath of its reorganization. - Ghulam Ahmad Mir
A seasoned politician and leader of the Jammu and Kashmir Pradesh Congress Committee (JKPCC), Ghulam Ahmad Mir is contesting to regain the Congress’s foothold in the region. Mir’s focus is on economic development, social justice, and restoring peace in the region. His experience as a former minister gives him credibility, but he faces stiff competition from both new and established rivals.
Other candidates to watch include several independents who, unencumbered by party politics, are focusing on hyper-local issues and grassroots campaigns. This election sees a significant number of independent candidates, reflecting voter disillusionment with mainstream parties.
Top Constituencies to Watch
With 24 constituencies going to polls, certain districts and constituencies stand out due to their strategic importance and high-profile battles. Here are the constituencies to keep an eye on:
- Anantnag (Kashmir Region)
Anantnag has always been a political hotspot in Kashmir, with high voter turnout and closely contested elections. It is the constituency where Iltija Mufti is running, making it one of the most significant in this phase of the election. The outcome here could be seen as a litmus test for the PDP’s popularity post-Article 370 abrogation. - Poonch (Jammu Region)
Known for its diverse population and a mix of religious communities, Poonch is a crucial constituency in the Jammu region. The BJP is making a strong push here, and its performance could indicate whether the party has successfully extended its reach into traditionally non-aligned regions of Jammu. - Srinagar (Kashmir Region)
Srinagar, the summer capital, is always a bellwether for political sentiment in Kashmir. The contest here is expected to be fiercely competitive, with candidates from multiple parties vying for dominance. The urban electorate in Srinagar tends to focus on economic and infrastructural development, issues that will be at the forefront of the candidates’ campaigns. - Rajouri (Jammu Region)
Rajouri is a border district that has seen its share of political turmoil and security concerns. It is also a constituency where issues of national security, employment, and development are major voter concerns. The BJP and Congress are locked in a heated battle here. - Pulwama (Kashmir Region)
Pulwama, a district that has frequently been in the news for conflict-related reasons, will be another constituency to watch. Candidates here are focusing on bringing stability and development to an area that has seen significant unrest.
Security Arrangements: Ensuring Peaceful Polls
Given the region’s history of conflict and political unrest, security remains a top priority during the elections. Inspector General of Police Kashmir Zone, V. K. Birdi, emphasized the comprehensive security arrangements put in place to ensure a peaceful voting process. A large deployment of paramilitary forces, local police, and surveillance teams is in place to prevent any disruption.
The region has seen a significant military presence in the wake of the Article 370 abrogation, and this election is no exception. Polling stations have been fortified, and special arrangements have been made for sensitive areas prone to unrest. Despite these challenges, authorities are hopeful for a peaceful turnout and a successful electoral process.
Major Issues Driving the Vote: Development, Autonomy, and Security
While each constituency has its own unique concerns, several key issues are driving the vote across Jammu and Kashmir:
- Development
Economic development is a major voter concern in both Jammu and Kashmir. The region has lagged behind in terms of infrastructure, employment opportunities, and industrial growth, which have been exacerbated by conflict. Candidates are focusing on promises to bring investment, create jobs, and develop critical infrastructure such as roads, hospitals, and schools. - Restoration of Autonomy
For many voters, particularly in the Kashmir region, the restoration of Article 370 or a return to greater autonomy remains a key issue. Parties like the PDP and National Conference are campaigning heavily on this, promising to fight for the political rights of Jammu and Kashmir within the framework of the Indian Constitution. - Security
The issue of security is always a major concern in elections in Jammu and Kashmir. With ongoing conflicts and militant activity, voters are seeking leaders who can bring peace and stability to the region.
The Future of Jammu and Kashmir’s Political Landscape
The 2024 elections will likely redefine the political landscape of Jammu and Kashmir. For the first time since its reorganization, voters have the opportunity to elect representatives under a new political framework. With the rise of younger candidates like Iltija Mufti, the continuing presence of experienced politicians like Ghulam Ahmad Mir, and the emergence of strong independent voices, the election promises to be a turning point for the region.
Whether the elections deliver a decisive mandate or lead to a fragmented political landscape remains to be seen. However, one thing is clear: Jammu and Kashmir is on the cusp of a new political era, one that will have far-reaching consequences for its governance, development, and relationship with the rest of India.
Bottom-Line
The first phase of the Jammu & Kashmir Assembly elections marks a historic moment for the region. As over 23 lakh voters head to the polls, the results will be watched closely across India and beyond. With key battles in constituencies like Anantnag, Poonch, and Srinagar, the election will set the tone for the future political direction of Jammu and Kashmir. As candidates like Iltija Mufti and Ghulam Ahmad Mir vie for power, the region stands on the threshold of change.
